Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.000122 0.000134 0.000147 0.000162 0.000178 0.000196 0.000217
2025-11-30 0.000100 0.000118 0.000139 0.000164 0.000195 0.000232 0.000279
2025-12-07 0.000087 0.000108 0.000134 0.000168 0.000212 0.000267 0.000343
2025-12-14 0.000075 0.000097 0.000125 0.000164 0.000217 0.000288 0.000390
2025-12-21 0.000065 0.000087 0.000116 0.000158 0.000218 0.000301 0.000427
2025-12-28 0.000060 0.000082 0.000113 0.000159 0.000227 0.000326 0.000484
2026-01-04 0.000055 0.000078 0.000110 0.000160 0.000237 0.000353 0.000545
2026-01-11 0.000050 0.000073 0.000106 0.000158 0.000241 0.000370 0.000594
2026-01-18 0.000047 0.000070 0.000103 0.000159 0.000249 0.000395 0.000657
2026-01-25 0.000043 0.000066 0.000100 0.000156 0.000252 0.000411 0.000708
2026-02-01 0.000041 0.000063 0.000097 0.000156 0.000258 0.000433 0.000772
2026-02-08 0.000038 0.000060 0.000094 0.000154 0.000261 0.000450 0.000827
2026-02-15 0.000035 0.000056 0.000090 0.000150 0.000261 0.000462 0.000876
2026-02-22 0.000033 0.000054 0.000089 0.000152 0.000272 0.000496 0.000976
2026-03-01 0.000032 0.000053 0.000088 0.000155 0.000284 0.000535 0.001092
2026-03-08 0.000030 0.000050 0.000085 0.000152 0.000285 0.000551 0.001160
2026-03-15 0.000027 0.000047 0.000080 0.000147 0.000281 0.000554 0.001202
2026-03-22 0.000026 0.000045 0.000079 0.000148 0.000289 0.000585 0.001311
2026-03-29 0.000025 0.000044 0.000078 0.000149 0.000298 0.000619 0.001433
2026-04-05 0.000024 0.000042 0.000076 0.000147 0.000299 0.000637 0.001520
2026-04-12 0.000023 0.000041 0.000075 0.000147 0.000307 0.000670 0.001648
2026-04-19 0.000021 0.000039 0.000073 0.000145 0.000308 0.000688 0.001741
2026-04-26 0.000020 0.000038 0.000071 0.000145 0.000314 0.000717 0.001871